I Bonds: Turning Inflation's Lemons Into Lemonade

Is rising inflation souring your finances? 

As we covered in our recent articles on Interest Rates and  Inflation, protecting the bulk of your wealth is about building and maintaining a well-structured plan, with a few anti-inflation elements. Outside of your core portfolio, there is a unique and potentially sweet deal for turning some of inflation’s lemons into lemonade. We’re talking about U.S. Series I Saving Bonds (“I Bonds”).

I Bonds are not a cure-all for inflation. And there is a thing or two to know about them before you decide whether to proceed. But as one of few holdings whose payouts are indexed to inflation, they may offer a refreshing haven for a portion of your uncommitted cash reserves. 

 

What Are I Bonds? 

I Bonds are inflation-indexed savings bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury.

Practically speaking, the interest you earn on your I Bond is the sum of two rates (the actual calculation is a little more detailed, but essentially ends up being the sum of these two rates).  

Fixed Rate + Inflation Rate = I Bond Composite Rate

  1. The fixed rate is based roughly on prevailing economic conditions.
  2. The inflation rate is based on inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers, or the CPI-U. However, the U.S. Treasury guarantees your I Bond will never be worth less than what you paid for it, so your composite rate will never drop below 0%.

 

Why the Excitement for I Bonds?

If you purchase an I Bond in May–October 2022, you are essentially guaranteed to earn a 9.62% annualized interest rate for six months after the purchase. If inflation remains high after that, so too will your I Bond’s interest payments. 

The Treasury adjusts I Bond rates every six months, on the first business day of each May and November. Although the inflation rate is an annualized 9.62% for at least the first six months, the fixed rate is an annualized 0% for the life of the bond.  

No wonder I Bonds are receiving increased attention—and investor dollars—even though they’ve been around since 1998. Where else can you earn nearly 10% annually, supposedly risk-free, on relatively accessible cash?

 

The Pitfalls of I Bond Engagement 

So far, so good. But before you prepare to pile your life’s savings into I Bonds, let’s review their “operating instructions.” 


MAXIMUM INVESTMENTS

You can only purchase up to $10,000 in I Bonds per person, per year. If you buy I Bonds exceeding that limit, the Treasury will process a refund, which may take up to 16 weeks.

A $10,000 investment returning 9.62% for six months produces approximately $40 monthly  ($481 over six months). After that, your bond’s inflation rate – and your return –  may rise or fall based on the Treasury’s semi-annual November/May rate changes. For example, one year ago, the rate was around 3%. 

Although individuals can only purchase up to $10,000 in I Bonds, a family trust (a revocable living trust) can also purchase an additional $10,000 per year.

Finally, you can direct up to $5,000 of a tax refund into paper I Bonds on top of all that (which can be converted to electronic bonds with extra effort). 


LACK OF LIQUIDITY:

The money you tie up in an I Bond is relatively, but not entirely accessible to you for cashing out as needed. Once you purchase an I Bond, you must hold it for at least one year. There are a few hardship exceptions, but it's best to consider the money locked up for one year. 

If you cash out after 1 year but before 5 years, you are penalized three months of interest. 

I Bonds are best purchased with the “right type” of money – cash reserves above your "rainy day" amount. We do not recommend I-Bonds as an investment for your emergency liquidity needs. For those that can accept these terms, this might represent more of a speed bump than a road block if you want or need your money back during that period. 


TAX RAMIFICATIONS:

At the Federal level, I Bond interest is tax-deferred. That can be a good deal, but be aware that your beneficiary will receive your accumulated tax bill if you die while holding I Bonds.

As described in this TIPSwatch “I Bond Manifesto” article, “You can elect to report [I  Bond] interest annually if you prefer, but most investors choose the default tax deferral option and thus only pay tax on the accumulated interest when they eventually redeem the I Bonds.” (Hint: This also offers you the opportunity to deliberately redeem the bonds in tax-favorable years.) 

There’s also a Federal tax exclusion if your income level qualifies you, and you spend the proceeds on qualified educational expenses. To be eligible in 2021, your Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) had to be under $98,200 for single, or $154,800 for married filing jointly filers.  

I Bonds are exempt from state and local income taxes, offering extra incentives if you live in a high-tax region. 


LOGISTICS

I Bonds are only sold directly to you, the public, through an account you establish at TreasuryDirect.gov

Take a peek at TreasuryDirect.gov's website. We found the login function to be tedious and old-fashioned. You cannot save your username or password in a secure password manager. That can be quite a hassle since your username is your account number, e.g. A-123-456-789. You also have to use a mouse to enter your login information by using your mouse to click buttons on an on-screen keyboard.

This also means we, as your advisor, cannot open or manage your I Bond account for you. We can coach you as you access the TreasuryDirect system, and advise you on the financial, investment, and tax-planning logistics. But you must hold your I Bonds outside of your primary portfolio. 

On the plus side, because this is a direct deal between you and the Federal government, there are no ($0) investment fees. If you purchase a $1,000 I Bond and hold it for at least 5 years, you will receive $1,000 back, plus all interest earned. 


TIMING:

Here’s another tip from the I Bond Manifesto: “Interest is earned on the last day of each month and is posted to your account on the first day of the following month.

So, if you own your I Bonds on the last day of any month, you’ll earn that full month’s interest.” In other words, if you buy an I Bond toward the end of the month, you can keep that money working elsewhere until then, and still receive the full month’s interest. Reverse that logic by selling I Bonds toward the beginning of the month, and still accruing that month’s interest in your TreasuryDirect account.

Your one-year holding period also starts at the beginning, not the end of the month in which you purchase the bond. 

 

Are I Bonds Right for You?

I Bonds are an attractive opportunity at this time. But are they the right opportunity for you? Before you buy, here are a few caveats to consider.


COMPLEXITIES:

Having a TreasuryDirect.gov account filled with I Bonds purchased over the years represents one more set of financial details to track. The inconvenience multiplies if you also purchase any paper I Bonds, directly or through tax refunds. There are due dates to remember, changing rates to monitor, beneficiaries to update, taxable interest to report, and account security to manage. Is the hassle factor worth it to you? Maybe yes; maybe no.

Financial planner Allan Roth reminds us in his AARP article:

“Later on in life, we are all subject to cognitive decline, and decluttering the number of accounts helps protect our nest egg. … [The Treasury does] not send out statements or 1099-Int forms, so make sure your spouse and heirs are aware you have this account. Many executors discover accounts of the deceased by reviewing statements and tax returns, and these I Bonds won’t show up for them.”


BEST, HIGHEST USE:

It’s always satisfying to score strong returns on any given holding. But if you do decide to purchase I Bonds, where will the money come from, and how else could you have used it?

If you’re thinking about tapping your greater portfolio to buy I Bonds, let’s incorporate the action into your structured investment plan.

If you plan to use cash reserves already allocated for upcoming expenses or emergency reserves, let’s make sure the one-year holding requirement won’t become a cash-flow problem if unexpected expenses arise.  

In short, even if we’re unable to directly manage your I Bond accounts for you, we can still add value as you make use of this enticing, inflation-busting opportunity.

How much money can you comfortably allocate to I Bonds? How can we make best use of their tax-planning possibilities? What other questions can we answer for you? Before you buy, let’s talk.  

Schedule some time to talk with us at www.openwindowFS.com/connection.


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